FNB Corp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.8

FNB
 Stock
  

USD 13.77  0.25  1.78%   

FNB Corp's future price is the expected price of FNB Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FNB Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 0.81. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 11.26.
  
FNB Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on FNB Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of FNB Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in FNB Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on FNB Corp's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-03 at 08:30:04 for $1.8 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.45, and an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 23.3537. View All FNB Corp options

Closest to current price FNB Corp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check FNB Corp Backtesting, FNB Corp Valuation, FNB Corp Correlation, FNB Corp Hype Analysis, FNB Corp Volatility, FNB Corp History as well as FNB Corp Performance. Please specify FNB Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FNB Corp odds to be computed.

FNB Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 11.8

The tendency of FNB Corp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.80  or more in 90 days
 13.77 90 days 11.80 
about 14.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FNB Corp to drop to $ 11.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.17 (This FNB Corp probability density function shows the probability of FNB Corp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FNB Corp price to stay between $ 11.80  and its current price of $13.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon FNB Corp has a beta of -0.0413. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding FNB Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, FNB Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2082, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FNB Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FNB Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FNB Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FNB Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FNB Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.9713.7915.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.2315.0516.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.6014.4216.24
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0014.4415.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FNB Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FNB Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FNB Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FNB Corp.

FNB Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FNB Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FNB Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FNB Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FNB Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.21
β
Beta against DOW-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

FNB Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FNB Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FNB Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FNB Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: First National Bank Named a Charlotte Top Workplace - PR Newswire

FNB Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FNB Corp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FNB Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FNB Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.00%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.48
Short Percent Of Float3.75%
Float Shares347.09M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.57M
Shares Short Prior Month10.2M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.49M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.47%

FNB Corp Technical Analysis

FNB Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FNB Corp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FNB Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FNB Corp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FNB Corp Predictive Forecast Models

FNB Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many FNB Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FNB Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FNB Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about FNB Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FNB Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FNB Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: First National Bank Named a Charlotte Top Workplace - PR Newswire
Please check FNB Corp Backtesting, FNB Corp Valuation, FNB Corp Correlation, FNB Corp Hype Analysis, FNB Corp Volatility, FNB Corp History as well as FNB Corp Performance. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running FNB Corp price analysis, check to measure FNB Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FNB Corp is operating at the current time. Most of FNB Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FNB Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FNB Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FNB Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FNB Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FNB Corp. If investors know FNB Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FNB Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
Market Capitalization
4.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Return On Assets
0.0097
Return On Equity
0.076
The market value of FNB Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FNB Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FNB Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FNB Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FNB Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FNB Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FNB Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FNB Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FNB Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.