Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.22

CPLP
 Stock
  

USD 14.37  0.48  3.23%   

Capital Product's future price is the expected price of Capital Product instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Product Part performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Capital Product's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Capital Product Part. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Capital Product based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Capital Product Part over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $15.0 is a CALL option contract on Capital Product's common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-22 at 14:46:49 for $0.45 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 30.2742. View All Capital options

Closest to current price Capital long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Capital Product Backtesting, Capital Product Valuation, Capital Product Correlation, Capital Product Hype Analysis, Capital Product Volatility, Capital Product History as well as Capital Product Performance. Please specify Capital Product time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Capital Product odds to be computed.

Capital Product Target Price Odds to finish below 11.22

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.22  or more in 90 days
 14.37 90 days 11.22 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Product to drop to $ 11.22  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capital Product Part probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Product Part price to stay between $ 11.22  and its current price of $14.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capital Product has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Product average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Product Part will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0146, implying that it can generate a 0.0146 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital Product Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Product

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Product Part. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Product's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Capital Product in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.3014.2416.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.9615.9017.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.8114.7616.70
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.0018.6720.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital Product. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital Product's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital Product's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Capital Product Part.

Capital Product Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Product is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Product's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Product Part, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Product within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.014626
β
Beta against DOW0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Capital Product Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Product for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Product Part can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Product Part generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Product Part has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 1.22 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.17, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Capital Product Part has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Capital Product until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Capital Product's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Capital Product Part sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Capital Product's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 29.0% of Capital Product shares are held by company insiders
On 10th of November 2022 Capital Product paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: U.S. core capital goods orders, shipments rebound strongly in October - Marketscreener.com

Capital Product Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Product's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Product's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.32%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.40
Short Percent Of Float0.40%
Float Shares14.59M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day90.81k
Shares Short Prior Month67.79k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month71.86k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.72%

Capital Product Technical Analysis

Capital Product's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Product Part. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Product Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Product time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Product's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Capital Product's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Product Part

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Product for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Product Part help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Product Part generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Product Part has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 1.22 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.17, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Capital Product Part has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Capital Product until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Capital Product's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Capital Product Part sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Capital Product's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 29.0% of Capital Product shares are held by company insiders
On 10th of November 2022 Capital Product paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: U.S. core capital goods orders, shipments rebound strongly in October - Marketscreener.com
Continue to Capital Product Backtesting, Capital Product Valuation, Capital Product Correlation, Capital Product Hype Analysis, Capital Product Volatility, Capital Product History as well as Capital Product Performance. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Capital Product Part price analysis, check to measure Capital Product's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Product is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Product's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Product's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Product's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Product to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Capital Product's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital Product. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital Product listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.53
Market Capitalization
302.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.67
Return On Assets
0.0513
Return On Equity
0.26
The market value of Capital Product Part is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital Product's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital Product's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital Product's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital Product's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Product's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capital Product value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Product's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.