Bitcoin Odds of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 17540.3

BTC
 Crypto
  

USD 16,588  84.62  0.51%   

Bitcoin's future price is the expected price of Bitcoin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bitcoin performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Bitcoin Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bitcoin Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Bitcoin Volatility, Bitcoin History as well as Bitcoin Performance. Please specify Bitcoin time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bitcoin odds to be computed.

Bitcoin Target Price Odds to finish over 17540.3

The tendency of Bitcoin Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17,540  or more in 90 days
 16,588 90 days 17,540 
about 86.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bitcoin to move over $ 17,540  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.01 (This Bitcoin probability density function shows the probability of Bitcoin Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bitcoin price to stay between its current price of $ 16,588  and $ 17,540  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bitcoin has a beta of -0.26 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Bitcoin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Bitcoin is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Bitcoin is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Bitcoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitcoin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bitcoin in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16,56116,56418,247
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14,82814,83218,247
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17,57917,58317,587
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16,51616,72516,941
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bitcoin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bitcoin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bitcoin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bitcoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bitcoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bitcoin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bitcoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.21
β
Beta against DOW-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1,445
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Bitcoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bitcoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bitcoin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bitcoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Bitcoin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bitcoin Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bitcoin. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bitcoin Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bitcoin Predictive Forecast Models

Bitcoin time-series forecasting models is one of many Bitcoin's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bitcoin's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bitcoin

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bitcoin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bitcoin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bitcoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Continue to Bitcoin Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bitcoin Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Bitcoin Volatility, Bitcoin History as well as Bitcoin Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Other Tools for Bitcoin Crypto Coin

When running Bitcoin price analysis, check to measure Bitcoin's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bitcoin is operating at the current time. Most of Bitcoin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Bitcoin's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bitcoin's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Bitcoin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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