BlueCity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.51

BLCT
 Stock
  

USD 1.54  0.00  0.00%   

BlueCity Holdings' future price is the expected price of BlueCity Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BlueCity Holdings Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Trending Equities.Please specify BlueCity Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BlueCity Holdings odds to be computed.

BlueCity Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 2.51

The tendency of BlueCity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 2.51  or more in 90 days
 1.54 90 days 2.51 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BlueCity Holdings to move over $ 2.51  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BlueCity Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of BlueCity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BlueCity Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.54  and $ 2.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BlueCity Holdings Limited has a beta of -0.28 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding BlueCity Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, BlueCity Holdings Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3027, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BlueCity Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BlueCity Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlueCity Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BlueCity Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BlueCity Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.541.541.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.392.832.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.571.571.57
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.007.007.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BlueCity Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BlueCity Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BlueCity Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BlueCity Holdings.

BlueCity Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BlueCity Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BlueCity Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BlueCity Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BlueCity Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.30
β
Beta against DOW-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

BlueCity Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BlueCity Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BlueCity Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlueCity Holdings is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!

BlueCity Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BlueCity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BlueCity Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlueCity Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.52%
Float Shares18.84M
Shares Short Prior Month143.97k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day174.8k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month107.92k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

BlueCity Holdings Technical Analysis

BlueCity Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BlueCity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BlueCity Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BlueCity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BlueCity Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

BlueCity Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many BlueCity Holdings' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary BlueCity Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BlueCity Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about BlueCity Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BlueCity Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlueCity Holdings is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the BlueCity Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BlueCity Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Other Tools for BlueCity Stock

When running BlueCity Holdings price analysis, check to measure BlueCity Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlueCity Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BlueCity Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlueCity Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlueCity Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlueCity Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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