Ardor Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 0.0731

ARDR
 Crypto
  

USD 0.07  0.0005  0.68%   

Ardor's future price is the expected price of Ardor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ardor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Ardor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ardor Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Ardor Volatility, Ardor History as well as Ardor Performance. Please specify Ardor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ardor odds to be computed.

Ardor Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0731

The tendency of Ardor Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 91.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ardor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.5 (This Ardor probability density function shows the probability of Ardor Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ardor has a beta of -0.066. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Ardor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Ardor is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Ardor is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Ardor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ardor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ardor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ardor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ardor in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.074.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.074.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0016230.084.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.080.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ardor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ardor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ardor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ardor.

Ardor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ardor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ardor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ardor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ardor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.5
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.01208
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Ardor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ardor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ardor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ardor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ardor has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Ardor has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Ardor Technical Analysis

Ardor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ardor Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ardor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ardor Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ardor Predictive Forecast Models

Ardor time-series forecasting models is one of many Ardor's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ardor's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ardor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ardor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ardor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ardor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ardor has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Ardor has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Please continue to Ardor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ardor Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Ardor Volatility, Ardor History as well as Ardor Performance. Note that the Ardor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ardor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Other Tools for Ardor Crypto Coin

When running Ardor price analysis, check to measure Ardor's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardor is operating at the current time. Most of Ardor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Ardor's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardor's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Ardor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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