COLUMBIA Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.54

AQEAX
 Fund
  

USD 12.54  0.03  0.24%   

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's future price is the expected price of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Correlation, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Hype Analysis, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Volatility, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED History as well as COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Performance. Please specify COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED odds to be computed.

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Target Price Odds to finish over 12.54

The tendency of COLUMBIA Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.54 90 days 12.54 
nearly 4.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.48 (This COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE probability density function shows the probability of COLUMBIA Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This suggests COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.8712.5414.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6812.3514.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE.

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds 99.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Technical Analysis

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COLUMBIA Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE. In general, you should focus on analyzing COLUMBIA Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Predictive Forecast Models

COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED time-series forecasting models is one of many COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE

Checking the ongoing alerts about COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds 99.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please continue to COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Correlation, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Hype Analysis, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Volatility, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED History as well as COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED Performance. Note that the COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for COLUMBIA Mutual Fund analysis

When running COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED CORE price analysis, check to measure COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED is operating at the current time. Most of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Please note, there is a significant difference between COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, COLUMBIA DISCIPLINED's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.