ANTDX Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.35

ANTDX
 Fund
  

USD 12.35  0.00  0.00%   

NT Disciplined's future price is the expected price of NT Disciplined instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NT Disciplined Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Trending Equities.Please specify NT Disciplined time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like NT Disciplined odds to be computed.

NT Disciplined Target Price Odds to finish over 12.35

The tendency of ANTDX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.35 90 days 12.35 
about 64.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NT Disciplined to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.19 (This NT Disciplined Growth probability density function shows the probability of ANTDX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NT Disciplined has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, NT Disciplined average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NT Disciplined Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. NT Disciplined Growth is significantly underperforming DOW.
   NT Disciplined Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NT Disciplined

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NT Disciplined Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of NT Disciplined's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of NT Disciplined in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.3512.3512.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.5111.5113.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.2312.2312.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3512.3512.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NT Disciplined. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NT Disciplined's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NT Disciplined's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in NT Disciplined Growth.

NT Disciplined Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NT Disciplined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NT Disciplined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NT Disciplined Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NT Disciplined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

NT Disciplined Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NT Disciplined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NT Disciplined Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NT Disciplined is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!

NT Disciplined Technical Analysis

NT Disciplined's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ANTDX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NT Disciplined Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing ANTDX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NT Disciplined Predictive Forecast Models

NT Disciplined time-series forecasting models is one of many NT Disciplined's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NT Disciplined's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NT Disciplined Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about NT Disciplined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NT Disciplined Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NT Disciplined is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the NT Disciplined Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other NT Disciplined's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Other Tools for ANTDX Mutual Fund

When running NT Disciplined Growth price analysis, check to measure NT Disciplined's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NT Disciplined is operating at the current time. Most of NT Disciplined's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NT Disciplined's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NT Disciplined's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NT Disciplined to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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