Aragon Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 1.66

ANT
 Crypto
  

USD 1.66  0.10  5.68%   

Aragon's future price is the expected price of Aragon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aragon performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Trending Equities.Please specify Aragon time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aragon odds to be computed.

Aragon Target Price Odds to finish over 1.66

The tendency of Aragon Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.66 90 days 1.66 
about 74.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aragon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This Aragon probability density function shows the probability of Aragon Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aragon has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aragon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aragon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2392, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aragon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aragon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aragon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aragon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aragon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.081.667.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.071.486.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aragon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aragon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aragon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aragon.

Aragon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aragon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aragon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aragon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aragon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.24
β
Beta against DOW0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.047017

Aragon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aragon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aragon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aragon is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Aragon has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Aragon may become a speculative penny crypto

Aragon Technical Analysis

Aragon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aragon Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aragon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aragon Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aragon Predictive Forecast Models

Aragon time-series forecasting models is one of many Aragon's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aragon's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aragon

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aragon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aragon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Aragon Alerts

Aragon Alerts and Suggestions

Aragon is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Aragon has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Aragon may become a speculative penny crypto
Please continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Other Tools for Aragon Crypto Coin

When running Aragon price analysis, check to measure Aragon's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aragon is operating at the current time. Most of Aragon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Aragon's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aragon's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Aragon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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