Fundamental Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 63.38

ANCFX
 Fund
  

USD 63.38  0.96  1.54%   

Fundamental Investors' future price is the expected price of Fundamental Investors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fundamental Investors Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Fundamental Investors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fundamental Investors Correlation, Fundamental Investors Hype Analysis, Fundamental Investors Volatility, Fundamental Investors History as well as Fundamental Investors Performance. Please specify Fundamental Investors time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Fundamental Investors odds to be computed.

Fundamental Investors Target Price Odds to finish over 63.38

The tendency of Fundamental Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 63.38 90 days 63.38 
about 6.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fundamental Investors to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.2 (This Fundamental Investors Class probability density function shows the probability of Fundamental Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fundamental Investors Class has a beta of -0.0043. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Fundamental Investors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Fundamental Investors Class is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0012, implying that it can generate a 0.001175 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fundamental Investors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fundamental Investors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundamental Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fundamental Investors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fundamental Investors in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
61.8263.3864.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
55.6257.1869.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
62.8164.3765.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.0061.4563.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fundamental Investors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fundamental Investors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fundamental Investors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fundamental Investors.

Fundamental Investors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fundamental Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fundamental Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fundamental Investors Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fundamental Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.001175
β
Beta against DOW-0.0043
σ
Overall volatility
2.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Fundamental Investors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fundamental Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fundamental Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundamental Investors is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 6.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Fundamental Investors Technical Analysis

Fundamental Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fundamental Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fundamental Investors Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fundamental Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fundamental Investors Predictive Forecast Models

Fundamental Investors time-series forecasting models is one of many Fundamental Investors' mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Fundamental Investors' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fundamental Investors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fundamental Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fundamental Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundamental Investors is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 6.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please continue to Fundamental Investors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fundamental Investors Correlation, Fundamental Investors Hype Analysis, Fundamental Investors Volatility, Fundamental Investors History as well as Fundamental Investors Performance. Note that the Fundamental Investors information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fundamental Investors' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Fundamental Investors price analysis, check to measure Fundamental Investors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fundamental Investors is operating at the current time. Most of Fundamental Investors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fundamental Investors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fundamental Investors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fundamental Investors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fundamental Investors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fundamental Investors value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fundamental Investors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.