Air Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.66

AIRI
 Stock
  

USD 0.66  0.02  2.94%   

Air Industries' future price is the expected price of Air Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Air Industries Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Air Industries Backtesting, Air Industries Valuation, Air Industries Correlation, Air Industries Hype Analysis, Air Industries Volatility, Air Industries History as well as Air Industries Performance. Please specify Air Industries time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Air Industries odds to be computed.

Air Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 0.66

The tendency of Air Industries Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.66 90 days 0.66 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Air Industries Group probability density function shows the probability of Air Industries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Air Industries has a beta of 0.0761. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Air Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Air Industries Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Air Industries Group is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Air Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Industries Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Air Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.030.683.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.113.78
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.502.502.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Air Industries Group.

Air Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air Industries Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.03
β
Beta against DOW0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.020144
Ir
Information ratio 0.003698

Air Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air Industries Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Industries Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air Industries Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Air Industries Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from fortune.com: When a Black CEO is appointed, it benefits the companys stock, according to new research - Fortune

Air Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Air Industries Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Air Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.04%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float0.07%
Float Shares24.64M
Shares Short Prior Month12.75k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day32.44k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month39.15k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield84.51%

Air Industries Technical Analysis

Air Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Air Industries Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Air Industries Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Air Industries Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Air Industries Predictive Forecast Models

Air Industries time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Industries' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Air Industries' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Air Industries Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Air Industries Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Air Industries Alerts

Air Industries Alerts and Suggestions

Air Industries Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air Industries Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Air Industries Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from fortune.com: When a Black CEO is appointed, it benefits the companys stock, according to new research - Fortune
Please continue to Air Industries Backtesting, Air Industries Valuation, Air Industries Correlation, Air Industries Hype Analysis, Air Industries Volatility, Air Industries History as well as Air Industries Performance. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Air Industries Group price analysis, check to measure Air Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Air Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Industries. If investors know Air Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Air Industries Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Air Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.