IShares Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 26.63

AGIH
 Etf
  

USD 24.72  0.11  0.45%   

IShares US's future price is the expected price of IShares US instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IShares US ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to IShares US Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares US Correlation, IShares US Hype Analysis, IShares US Volatility, IShares US History as well as IShares US Performance. Please specify IShares US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like IShares US odds to be computed.

IShares US Target Price Odds to finish over 26.63

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.63  or more in 90 days
 24.72 90 days 26.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares US to move over $ 26.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IShares US ETF probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IShares US ETF price to stay between its current price of $ 24.72  and $ 26.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.47 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IShares US has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, IShares US average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IShares US ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. IShares US ETF is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   IShares US Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares US

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IShares US ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares US's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of IShares US in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
24.1024.7225.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.9724.5925.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
24.2624.8825.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.5124.1924.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IShares US. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IShares US's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IShares US's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in IShares US ETF.

IShares US Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares US is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares US's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IShares US ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares US within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

IShares US Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares US for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IShares US ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IShares US ETF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 8th of November 2022 IShares US paid $ 0.0561 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund holds about 5.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

IShares US Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares US's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares US's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day20
Average Daily Volume In Three Month49

IShares US Technical Analysis

IShares US's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IShares US ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IShares US Predictive Forecast Models

IShares US time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares US's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary IShares US's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IShares US ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares US for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IShares US ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IShares US ETF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 8th of November 2022 IShares US paid $ 0.0561 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund holds about 5.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Please continue to IShares US Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares US Correlation, IShares US Hype Analysis, IShares US Volatility, IShares US History as well as IShares US Performance. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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The market value of IShares US ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares US's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares US's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares US's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares US's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares US's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine IShares US value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares US's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.