COLUMBIA Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.14

ACRNX
 Fund
  

USD 9.14  0.21  2.25%   

COLUMBIA ACORN's future price is the expected price of COLUMBIA ACORN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COLUMBIA ACORN FUND performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to COLUMBIA ACORN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, COLUMBIA ACORN Correlation, COLUMBIA ACORN Hype Analysis, COLUMBIA ACORN Volatility, COLUMBIA ACORN History as well as COLUMBIA ACORN Performance. Please specify COLUMBIA ACORN time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like COLUMBIA ACORN odds to be computed.

COLUMBIA ACORN Target Price Odds to finish over 9.14

The tendency of COLUMBIA Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.14 90 days 9.14 
about 51.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COLUMBIA ACORN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.08 (This COLUMBIA ACORN FUND probability density function shows the probability of COLUMBIA Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon COLUMBIA ACORN has a beta of 0.0841. This suggests as returns on the market go up, COLUMBIA ACORN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COLUMBIA ACORN FUND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. COLUMBIA ACORN FUND is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   COLUMBIA ACORN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COLUMBIA ACORN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COLUMBIA ACORN FUND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of COLUMBIA ACORN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of COLUMBIA ACORN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.989.1411.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.598.7510.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.929.0811.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.789.289.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COLUMBIA ACORN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COLUMBIA ACORN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COLUMBIA ACORN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in COLUMBIA ACORN FUND.

COLUMBIA ACORN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COLUMBIA ACORN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COLUMBIA ACORN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COLUMBIA ACORN FUND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COLUMBIA ACORN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

COLUMBIA ACORN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COLUMBIA ACORN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COLUMBIA ACORN FUND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COLUMBIA ACORN FUND generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds 98.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

COLUMBIA ACORN Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of COLUMBIA Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential COLUMBIA ACORN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COLUMBIA ACORN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.20
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield23.40%

COLUMBIA ACORN Technical Analysis

COLUMBIA ACORN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COLUMBIA Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COLUMBIA ACORN FUND. In general, you should focus on analyzing COLUMBIA Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COLUMBIA ACORN Predictive Forecast Models

COLUMBIA ACORN time-series forecasting models is one of many COLUMBIA ACORN's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary COLUMBIA ACORN's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COLUMBIA ACORN FUND

Checking the ongoing alerts about COLUMBIA ACORN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COLUMBIA ACORN FUND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COLUMBIA ACORN FUND generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds 98.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please continue to COLUMBIA ACORN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, COLUMBIA ACORN Correlation, COLUMBIA ACORN Hype Analysis, COLUMBIA ACORN Volatility, COLUMBIA ACORN History as well as COLUMBIA ACORN Performance. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running COLUMBIA ACORN FUND price analysis, check to measure COLUMBIA ACORN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COLUMBIA ACORN is operating at the current time. Most of COLUMBIA ACORN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COLUMBIA ACORN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COLUMBIA ACORN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COLUMBIA ACORN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between COLUMBIA ACORN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine COLUMBIA ACORN value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, COLUMBIA ACORN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.