ACHFX Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.12

ACHFX
 Fund
  

USD 8.12  0.00  0.00%   

High Income's future price is the expected price of High Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of High Income Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Trending Equities.Please specify High Income time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like High Income odds to be computed.

High Income Target Price Odds to finish over 8.12

The tendency of ACHFX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.12 90 days 8.12 
about 70.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of High Income to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.07 (This High Income Fund probability density function shows the probability of ACHFX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon High Income has a beta of 0.0803. This suggests as returns on the market go up, High Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding High Income Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0196, implying that it can generate a 0.0196 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   High Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for High Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as High Income Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of High Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of High Income in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.648.128.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.678.158.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.688.168.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.038.308.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as High Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against High Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, High Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in High Income Fund.

High Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. High Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the High Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold High Income Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of High Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.019589
β
Beta against DOW0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

High Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of High Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for High Income Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
High Income Fund is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
High Income Fund is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 31st of August 2022 High Income paid $ 0.0468 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund holds about 98.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

High Income Technical Analysis

High Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACHFX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of High Income Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACHFX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

High Income Predictive Forecast Models

High Income time-series forecasting models is one of many High Income's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary High Income's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about High Income Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about High Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for High Income Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
High Income Fund is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
High Income Fund is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 31st of August 2022 High Income paid $ 0.0468 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund holds about 98.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the High Income Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other High Income's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for ACHFX Mutual Fund analysis

When running High Income Fund price analysis, check to measure High Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy High Income is operating at the current time. Most of High Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of High Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move High Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of High Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between High Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine High Income value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, High Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.