Jakarta Comp (Indonesia) Probability of Future Index Price Finishing Over 1

JKSE
 Index
  

 7,041  4.60  0.07%   

Jakarta Comp's future price is the expected price of Jakarta Comp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jakarta Comp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jakarta Comp Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jakarta Comp Correlation, Jakarta Comp Hype Analysis, Jakarta Comp Volatility, Jakarta Comp History as well as Jakarta Comp Performance. Please specify Jakarta Comp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jakarta Comp odds to be computed.

Jakarta Comp Target Price Odds to finish over 1

The tendency of Jakarta Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.00  in 90 days
 7,041 90 days 1.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jakarta Comp to stay above  1.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Jakarta Comp probability density function shows the probability of Jakarta Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jakarta Comp price to stay between  1.00  and its current price of 7040.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.52 .
   Jakarta Comp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jakarta Comp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jakarta Comp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jakarta Comp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jakarta Comp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7,0407,0417,041
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6,6886,6897,745
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6,9226,9236,924
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7,0747,2047,334
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jakarta Comp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jakarta Comp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jakarta Comp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jakarta Comp.

Jakarta Comp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jakarta Comp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jakarta Comp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jakarta Comp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jakarta Comp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Jakarta Comp Technical Analysis

Jakarta Comp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jakarta Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jakarta Comp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jakarta Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jakarta Comp Predictive Forecast Models

Jakarta Comp time-series forecasting models is one of many Jakarta Comp's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jakarta Comp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the index market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Jakarta Comp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Jakarta Comp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Jakarta Comp options trading.
Check out Jakarta Comp Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jakarta Comp Correlation, Jakarta Comp Hype Analysis, Jakarta Comp Volatility, Jakarta Comp History as well as Jakarta Comp Performance. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Other Tools for Jakarta Index

When running Jakarta Comp price analysis, check to measure Jakarta Comp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jakarta Comp is operating at the current time. Most of Jakarta Comp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jakarta Comp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jakarta Comp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jakarta Comp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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