IBEX 35 (Spain) Odds of Future Index Price Finishing Over 8103.48

IBEX
 Index
  

 8,340  17.00  0.20%   

IBEX 35's future price is the expected price of IBEX 35 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IBEX 35 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IBEX 35 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IBEX 35 Correlation, IBEX 35 Hype Analysis, IBEX 35 Volatility, IBEX 35 History as well as IBEX 35 Performance. Please specify IBEX 35 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like IBEX 35 odds to be computed.

IBEX 35 Target Price Odds to finish over 8103.48

The tendency of IBEX 35 Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  8,103  in 90 days
 8,340 90 days 8,103 
about 19.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IBEX 35 to stay above  8,103  in 90 days from now is about 19.13 (This IBEX 35 probability density function shows the probability of IBEX 35 Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IBEX 35 price to stay between  8,103  and its current price of 8340.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.42 .
   IBEX 35 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IBEX 35

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IBEX 35. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of IBEX 35's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of IBEX 35 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8,4158,4178,418
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8,3318,3329,258
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8,6158,6168,618
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7,8988,1308,363
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IBEX 35. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IBEX 35's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IBEX 35's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in IBEX 35.

IBEX 35 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IBEX 35 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IBEX 35's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IBEX 35, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IBEX 35 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

IBEX 35 Technical Analysis

IBEX 35's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IBEX 35 Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IBEX 35. In general, you should focus on analyzing IBEX 35 Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IBEX 35 Predictive Forecast Models

IBEX 35 time-series forecasting models is one of many IBEX 35's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary IBEX 35's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the index market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards IBEX 35 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, IBEX 35's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from IBEX 35 options trading.
Check out IBEX 35 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IBEX 35 Correlation, IBEX 35 Hype Analysis, IBEX 35 Volatility, IBEX 35 History as well as IBEX 35 Performance. Note that the IBEX 35 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IBEX 35's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Other Tools for IBEX 35 Index

When running IBEX 35 price analysis, check to measure IBEX 35's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IBEX 35 is operating at the current time. Most of IBEX 35's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IBEX 35's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IBEX 35's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IBEX 35 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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