General Dynamics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GD
 Stock
  

USD 252.39  1.17  0.47%   

General Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast General Dynamics historical stock prices and determine the direction of General Dynamics Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of General Dynamics historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although General Dynamics naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of General Dynamics Corp systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of General Dynamics fundamentals over time.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections.
  
General Dynamics Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Receivables Turnover was at 3.39. The current year Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 7.57, whereas Accrued Expenses Turnover is forecasted to decline to 20.62. . General Dynamics Weighted Average Shares Diluted is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares Diluted was at 282.02 Million.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-12-02 General Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast General Dynamics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest General Dynamics' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies General Dynamics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current General Dynamics' open interest, investors have to compare it to General Dynamics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of General Dynamics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in General. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in General Dynamics cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the General Dynamics' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets General Dynamics' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for General Dynamics is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

General Dynamics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of General Dynamics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 251.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.06, mean absolute percentage error of 15.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict General Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that General Dynamics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

General Dynamics Stock Forecast Pattern

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General Dynamics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting General Dynamics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. General Dynamics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 250.24 and 253.37, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 252.39
250.24
Downside
251.81
Expected Value
253.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of General Dynamics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent General Dynamics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1562
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6759
MADMean absolute deviation3.0559
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0131
SAESum of the absolute errors180.3
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of General Dynamics Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of General Dynamics. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting stock prices into the future

Predictive Modules for General Dynamics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Dynamics Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of General Dynamics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
249.34250.91252.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
206.22207.79276.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
241.85247.92254.00
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
210.00234.70247.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General Dynamics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General Dynamics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General Dynamics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in General Dynamics Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for General Dynamics

For every potential investor in General, whether a beginner or expert, General Dynamics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. General Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in General. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying General Dynamics' price trends.

General Dynamics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with General Dynamics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of General Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing General Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Goldman Sachs GroupAutozoneStarco BrandsVisa IncChevron CorpLeidos HoldingsAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanBhp BillitonNatural Hlth TrdUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian Gold
 Risk & Return  Correlation

General Dynamics Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of General Dynamics' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of General Dynamics' current price.

General Dynamics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how General Dynamics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading General Dynamics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying General Dynamics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify General Dynamics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

General Dynamics Risk Indicators

The analysis of General Dynamics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in General Dynamics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting General Dynamics stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in General Dynamics without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections. Note that the General Dynamics Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Dynamics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis

When running General Dynamics Corp price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is General Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Dynamics. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.062
Market Capitalization
69 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.043
Return On Assets
0.0541
Return On Equity
0.2
The market value of General Dynamics Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine General Dynamics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.