General Dynamics Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

GD
 Stock
  

USD 252.39  1.17  0.47%   

General Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast General Dynamics historical stock prices and determine the direction of General Dynamics Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of General Dynamics historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although General Dynamics naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of General Dynamics Corp systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of General Dynamics fundamentals over time.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections.
  
General Dynamics Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Receivables Turnover was at 3.39. The current year Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 7.57, whereas Accrued Expenses Turnover is forecasted to decline to 20.62. . General Dynamics Weighted Average Shares Diluted is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares Diluted was at 282.02 Million.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-12-02 General Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast General Dynamics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest General Dynamics' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies General Dynamics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current General Dynamics' open interest, investors have to compare it to General Dynamics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of General Dynamics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in General. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in General Dynamics cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the General Dynamics' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets General Dynamics' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for General Dynamics is based on an artificially constructed time series of General Dynamics daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

General Dynamics 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of General Dynamics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 251.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.00, mean absolute percentage error of 36.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 264.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict General Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that General Dynamics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

General Dynamics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest General DynamicsGeneral Dynamics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

General Dynamics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting General Dynamics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. General Dynamics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 249.75 and 252.87, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 252.39
249.75
Downside
251.31
Expected Value
252.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of General Dynamics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent General Dynamics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.016
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.9604
MADMean absolute deviation4.9993
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0212
SAESum of the absolute errors264.9613
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. General Dynamics Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for General Dynamics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Dynamics Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of General Dynamics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
249.34250.91252.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
206.22207.79276.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
241.85247.92254.00
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
210.00234.70247.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General Dynamics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General Dynamics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General Dynamics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in General Dynamics Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for General Dynamics

For every potential investor in General, whether a beginner or expert, General Dynamics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. General Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in General. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying General Dynamics' price trends.

General Dynamics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with General Dynamics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of General Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing General Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Goldman Sachs GroupAutozoneStarco BrandsVisa IncChevron CorpLeidos HoldingsAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanBhp BillitonNatural Hlth TrdUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian Gold
 Risk & Return  Correlation

General Dynamics Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of General Dynamics' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of General Dynamics' current price.

General Dynamics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how General Dynamics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading General Dynamics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying General Dynamics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify General Dynamics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

General Dynamics Risk Indicators

The analysis of General Dynamics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in General Dynamics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting General Dynamics stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

General Dynamics Investors Sentiment

The influence of General Dynamics' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in General. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to General Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in General. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding General can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Dynamics Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
General Dynamics' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for General Dynamics' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average General Dynamics' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on General Dynamics.

General Dynamics Implied Volatility

    
  28.32  
General Dynamics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Dynamics Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if General Dynamics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that General Dynamics stock will not fluctuate a lot when General Dynamics' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards General Dynamics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, General Dynamics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from General Dynamics options trading.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as General Dynamics Corp using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections. Note that the General Dynamics Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Dynamics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running General Dynamics Corp price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is General Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Dynamics. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.062
Market Capitalization
69 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.043
Return On Assets
0.0541
Return On Equity
0.2
The market value of General Dynamics Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine General Dynamics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.