FTX Token Crypto Coin Forecast - Naive Prediction

FTT
 Crypto
  

USD 1.34  0.01  0.75%   

FTX Token Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FTX Token historical crypto prices and determine the direction of FTX Token's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of FTX Token historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of FTX Token to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in FTX Token cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the FTX Token's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets FTX Token's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for FTX Token is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of FTX Token value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

FTX Token Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FTX Token on the next trading day is expected to be 9.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.39, mean absolute percentage error of 11.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FTX Token Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FTX Token's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FTX Token Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

FTX Token Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FTX Token's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FTX Token's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0134 and 32.54, respectively. We have considered FTX Token's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 1.34
0.0134
Downside
9.21
Expected Value
32.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FTX Token crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FTX Token crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.5541
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3942
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.6244
SAESum of the absolute errors146.0446
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of FTX Token. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict FTX Token. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for FTX Token

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTX Token. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTX Token's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FTX Token in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.071.4024.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.071.3424.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-5.0811.6028.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FTX Token. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FTX Token's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FTX Token's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FTX Token.

Other Forecasting Options for FTX Token

For every potential investor in FTX Token, whether a beginner or expert, FTX Token's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FTX Token Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FTX Token. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FTX Token's price trends.

FTX Token Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FTX Token crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FTX Token could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FTX Token by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
XRPSolanaPolygonChainlinkPolkadotAvalancheUniswap Protocol TokenAptosDaiTRONOKBAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 Covered
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FTX Token Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FTX Token's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FTX Token's current price.

FTX Token Risk Indicators

The analysis of FTX Token's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FTX Token's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting FTX Token stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

FTX Token Investors Sentiment

The influence of FTX Token's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in FTX Token. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a crypto movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire crypto markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to FTX Token's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in FTX Token. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FTX Token can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FTX Token. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
FTX Token's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for FTX Token's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average FTX Token's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on FTX Token.
Some cryptocurrency investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. However, unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FTX Token in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the crypto's market sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools provided by cryptocurrency exchanges to gauge market sentiment could be utilized to time the market in a somewhat predictable way.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as FTX Token using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of FTX Token to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Other Tools for FTX Token Crypto Coin

When running FTX Token price analysis, check to measure FTX Token's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FTX Token is operating at the current time. Most of FTX Token's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of FTX Token's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FTX Token's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding FTX Token to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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