FBR ASSET Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

FB
 Stock
  

USD 169.58  6.99  4.30%   

FBR ASSET Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FBR ASSET historical stock prices and determine the direction of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of FBR ASSET historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Most investors in FBR ASSET cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the FBR ASSET's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets FBR ASSET's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for FBR ASSET is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

FBR ASSET Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of August

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT on the next trading day is expected to be 157.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81, mean absolute percentage error of 48.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FBR ASSET Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FBR ASSET's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FBR ASSET Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FBR ASSET stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FBR ASSET stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.9845
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.8085
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0326
SAESum of the absolute errors354.3198
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict FBR ASSET. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for FBR ASSET

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FBR ASSET INVESTMENT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FBR ASSET's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FBR ASSET in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
166.00169.58173.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
152.62220.67224.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
153.32168.28183.24
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
300.00390.86460.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FBR ASSET. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FBR ASSET's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FBR ASSET's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FBR ASSET INVESTMENT.

FBR ASSET Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FBR ASSET stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FBR ASSET could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FBR ASSET by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Alphabet Cl CStarbucks CorpAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanGARDNER DENVER INCUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondLIFE STORAGE INCMaiden Holdings North
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FBR ASSET Risk Indicators

The analysis of FBR ASSET's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FBR ASSET's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting FBR ASSET stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in FBR ASSET without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Investing Opportunities. Note that the FBR ASSET INVESTMENT information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FBR ASSET's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Tools for FBR ASSET Stock

When running FBR ASSET INVESTMENT price analysis, check to measure FBR ASSET's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FBR ASSET is operating at the current time. Most of FBR ASSET's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FBR ASSET's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FBR ASSET's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FBR ASSET to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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