# CrossFirst Bankshares Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CFB | Stock | ## USD 13.64 0.07 0.52% |

CrossFirst Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CrossFirst Bankshares historical stock prices and determine the direction of CrossFirst Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although CrossFirst Bankshares naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CrossFirst Bankshares fundamentals over time.

Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. CrossFirst |

**M**. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to decline to about 46

**M**.

### Open Interest Agains t 2022-12-16 CrossFirst Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CrossFirst Bankshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest CrossFirst Bankshares' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies CrossFirst Bankshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.

Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CrossFirst Bankshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to CrossFirst Bankshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CrossFirst Bankshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CrossFirst. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Most investors in CrossFirst Bankshares cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the CrossFirst Bankshares' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets CrossFirst Bankshares' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.

A naive forecasting model for CrossFirst Bankshares is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CrossFirst Bankshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. ## CrossFirst Bankshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CrossFirst Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CrossFirst Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CrossFirst Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## CrossFirst Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CrossFirst Bankshares | CrossFirst Bankshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |

## CrossFirst Bankshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CrossFirst Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CrossFirst Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.09 and 15.64, respectively. We have considered CrossFirst Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.

## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CrossFirst Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CrossFirst Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3137 |

Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |

MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2073 |

MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0154 |

SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.6465 |

## Predictive Modules for CrossFirst Bankshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CrossFirst Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CrossFirst Bankshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CrossFirst Bankshares in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CrossFirst Bankshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CrossFirst Bankshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CrossFirst Bankshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CrossFirst Bankshares.

## Other Forecasting Options for CrossFirst Bankshares

For every potential investor in CrossFirst, whether a beginner or expert, CrossFirst Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CrossFirst Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CrossFirst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CrossFirst Bankshares' price trends.## CrossFirst Bankshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CrossFirst Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CrossFirst Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Risk & Return | Correlation |

## CrossFirst Bankshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CrossFirst Bankshares' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CrossFirst Bankshares' current price.Cycle Indicators | ||

Math Operators | ||

Math Transform | ||

Momentum Indicators | ||

Overlap Studies | ||

Pattern Recognition | ||

Price Transform | ||

Statistic Functions | ||

Volatility Indicators | ||

Volume Indicators |

## CrossFirst Bankshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CrossFirst Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CrossFirst Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CrossFirst Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CrossFirst Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Accumulation Distribution | 2775.22 | |||

Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1077 | |||

Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||

Day Median Price | 13.38 | |||

Day Typical Price | 13.46 | |||

Market Facilitation Index | 0.0 | |||

Price Action Indicator | 0.3 |

## CrossFirst Bankshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CrossFirst Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting CrossFirst Bankshares stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||

Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||

Standard Deviation | 1.79 | |||

Variance | 3.22 | |||

Downside Variance | 3.14 | |||

Semi Variance | 2.97 | |||

Expected Short fall | (1.38) |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## CrossFirst Bankshares Investors Sentiment

The influence of CrossFirst Bankshares' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in CrossFirst. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to CrossFirst Bankshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in CrossFirst. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CrossFirst can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CrossFirst Bankshares. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

CrossFirst Bankshares' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for CrossFirst Bankshares' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average CrossFirst Bankshares' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on CrossFirst Bankshares.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CrossFirst Bankshares in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CrossFirst Bankshares' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CrossFirst Bankshares options trading.

## Pair Trading with CrossFirst Bankshares

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CrossFirst Bankshares position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CrossFirst Bankshares will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to CrossFirst Bankshares could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CrossFirst Bankshares when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CrossFirst Bankshares - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CrossFirst Bankshares to buy it.

The correlation of CrossFirst Bankshares is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CrossFirst Bankshares moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CrossFirst Bankshares moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CrossFirst Bankshares can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. Note that the CrossFirst Bankshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CrossFirst Bankshares' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

## Complementary Tools for CrossFirst Stock analysis

When running CrossFirst Bankshares price analysis, check to measure CrossFirst Bankshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CrossFirst Bankshares is operating at the current time. Most of CrossFirst Bankshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CrossFirst Bankshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CrossFirst Bankshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CrossFirst Bankshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is CrossFirst Bankshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CrossFirst Bankshares. If investors know CrossFirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CrossFirst Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY (0.15) | Market Capitalization 663.1 M | Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY (0.011) | Return On Assets 0.0125 | Return On Equity 0.11 |

The market value of CrossFirst Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CrossFirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CrossFirst Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CrossFirst Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CrossFirst Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CrossFirst Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between CrossFirst Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CrossFirst Bankshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CrossFirst Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.