# Badger DAO Crypto Coin Forecast - Naive Prediction

BADGER | ## USD 4.07 0.18 4.24% |

Badger Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Badger DAO historical crypto prices and determine the direction of Badger DAO's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Badger DAO historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.

Continue to Trending Equities.Badger |

Most investors in Badger DAO cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Badger DAO's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Badger DAO's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.

A naive forecasting model for Badger DAO is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Badger DAO value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. ## Badger DAO Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Badger DAO on the next trading day is expected to be 4.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Badger Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Badger DAO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## Badger DAO Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

## Badger DAO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Badger DAO's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Badger DAO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0407 and 10.98, respectively. We have considered Badger DAO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.

## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Badger DAO crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Badger DAO crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6196 |

Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |

MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2254 |

MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0558 |

SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.7507 |

## Predictive Modules for Badger DAO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Badger DAO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Badger DAO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Badger DAO in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Badger DAO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Badger DAO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Badger DAO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Badger DAO.

## Badger DAO Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Badger DAO crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Badger DAO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Badger DAO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Risk & Return | Correlation |

## Badger DAO Risk Indicators

The analysis of Badger DAO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Badger DAO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Badger DAO stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Mean Deviation | 4.94 | |||

Semi Deviation | 6.13 | |||

Standard Deviation | 6.67 | |||

Variance | 44.53 | |||

Downside Variance | 42.41 | |||

Semi Variance | 37.55 | |||

Expected Short fall | (5.12) |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Badger DAO without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.## Did you try this?

### Run Price Exposure Probability Now

## Price Exposure ProbabilityAnalyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets |

All Next | Launch Module |

## Pair Trading with Badger DAO

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Badger DAO position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Badger DAO will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.### Moving together with Badger DAO

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Badger DAO could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Badger DAO when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Badger DAO - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Badger DAO to buy it.

The correlation of Badger DAO is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Badger DAO moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Badger DAO moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Badger DAO can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Badger DAO information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Badger DAO's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

## Other Tools for Badger Crypto Coin

When running Badger DAO price analysis, check to measure Badger DAO's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Badger DAO is operating at the current time. Most of Badger DAO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Badger DAO's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Badger DAO's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Badger DAO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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