Hercules Silver OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BADEF
 Stock
  

USD 0.044  0.0034  8.37%   

Hercules OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hercules Silver historical stock prices and determine the direction of Hercules Silver Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Hercules Silver historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hercules Silver to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Hercules Silver cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hercules Silver's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hercules Silver's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Hercules Silver polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Hercules Silver Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Hercules Silver Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hercules Silver Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.039235 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.004641, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00003395, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hercules OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hercules Silver's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hercules Silver OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hercules Silver Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hercules Silver's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hercules Silver's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00044 and 9.02, respectively. We have considered Hercules Silver's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 0.044
0.00044
Downside
0.039235
Expected Value
9.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hercules Silver otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hercules Silver otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.6578
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0046
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0728
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2877
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Hercules Silver historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Hercules Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hercules Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hercules Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hercules Silver in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.049.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.0389769.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.0372660.060.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hercules Silver. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hercules Silver's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hercules Silver's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hercules Silver Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Hercules Silver

For every potential investor in Hercules, whether a beginner or expert, Hercules Silver's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hercules OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hercules. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hercules Silver's price trends.

Hercules Silver Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hercules Silver otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hercules Silver could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hercules Silver by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Amazon IncAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanNatural Hlth TrdUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondMaiden Holdings NorthSeagate Technology HldgsVistra Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hercules Silver Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hercules Silver's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hercules Silver's current price.

Hercules Silver Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hercules Silver's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hercules Silver's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Hercules Silver stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hercules Silver in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hercules Silver's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hercules Silver options trading.

Pair Trading with Hercules Silver

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hercules Silver position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hercules Silver will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hercules Silver

Moving against Hercules Silver

-0.61SBUXStarbucks Corp TrendingPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hercules Silver could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hercules Silver when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hercules Silver - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hercules Silver Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Hercules Silver is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hercules Silver moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hercules Silver Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hercules Silver can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hercules Silver to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hercules Silver Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hercules Silver's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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When running Hercules Silver Corp price analysis, check to measure Hercules Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hercules Silver's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hercules Silver. If investors know Hercules will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hercules Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hercules Silver Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hercules that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hercules Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hercules Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hercules Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hercules Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hercules Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hercules Silver value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hercules Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.