Axie Infinity Crypto Coin Forecast - Naive Prediction

AXS
 Crypto
  

USD 13.11  0.29  2.26%   

Axie Infinity Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Axie Infinity historical crypto prices and determine the direction of Axie Infinity Shards's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Axie Infinity historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please continue to Trending Equities.
  
Most investors in Axie Infinity cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Axie Infinity's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Axie Infinity's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Axie Infinity is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Axie Infinity Shards value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Axie Infinity Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Axie Infinity Shards on the next trading day is expected to be 13.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axie Infinity Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axie Infinity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Axie Infinity Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Axie Infinity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Axie Infinity's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axie Infinity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.71 and 19.96, respectively. We have considered Axie Infinity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 13.11
13.34
Expected Value
19.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axie Infinity crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axie Infinity crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0364
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7817
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0509
SAESum of the absolute errors47.683
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Axie Infinity Shards. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Axie Infinity. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Axie Infinity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axie Infinity Shards. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axie Infinity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Axie Infinity in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.4813.1119.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.5812.2118.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1313.5014.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Axie Infinity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Axie Infinity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Axie Infinity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Axie Infinity Shards.

Axie Infinity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axie Infinity crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axie Infinity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axie Infinity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
XRPSolanaPolkadotChainlinkPolygonFTX TokenAvalancheDaiTRONUniswap Protocol TokenStellarAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 Covered
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Axie Infinity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Axie Infinity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Axie Infinity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Axie Infinity stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some cryptocurrency investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. However, unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Axie Infinity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the crypto's market sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools provided by cryptocurrency exchanges to gauge market sentiment could be utilized to time the market in a somewhat predictable way.

Pair Trading with Axie Infinity

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Axie Infinity position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Axie Infinity will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Axie Infinity

+0.81XRPXRPPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Axie Infinity could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Axie Infinity when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Axie Infinity - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Axie Infinity Shards to buy it.
The correlation of Axie Infinity is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Axie Infinity moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Axie Infinity Shards moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Axie Infinity can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Tools for Axie Infinity Crypto Coin

When running Axie Infinity Shards price analysis, check to measure Axie Infinity's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axie Infinity is operating at the current time. Most of Axie Infinity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Axie Infinity's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axie Infinity's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Axie Infinity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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