AAR Corp Earnings Estimate

AIR
 Stock
  

USD 41.39  0.47  1.12%   

Many public companies, such as AAR Corp, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing AAR Corp's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across AAR Corp's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
AAR Corp is projected to generate 2.5 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2022. AAR Corp earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected AAR Corp EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please continue to Trending Equities.
  
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As of 06/29/2022, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 321.2 M, while Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.0195.
Share

AAR Corp Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of AAR Corp is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding AAR Corp future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 82.75%, the future earnings per share of AAR Corp is estimated to be 2.5 with the lowest and highest values of 2.5 and 2.5, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AAR Corp is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 2.07
2.50
Lowest
Expected EPS 2.5
2.50
Highest

AAR Corp Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AAR Corp's value are higher than the current market price of the AAR Corp stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AAR Corp is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AAR Corp's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2022

1

82.75%

2.07

2.5

AAR Corp Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by AAR Corp analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge AAR Corp's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only AAR Corp's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

AAR Corp Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

39 Million

Share
AAR Corp Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. AAR Corp reported last year Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT of 53.1 Million. As of 06/29/2022, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 62.58, while Earnings per Basic Share are likely to drop 0.90. As of 06/29/2022, Weighted Average Shares is likely to grow to about 32.3 M. Also, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to grow to about 43.4 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AAR Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AAR Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
39.3941.8344.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
41.1543.5946.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
36.8439.2841.73
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0049.5053.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AAR Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AAR Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AAR Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AAR Corp.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of AAR Corp assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards AAR Corp. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving AAR Corp stock price in the short term.

AAR Corp Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of AAR Corp refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering AAR Corp predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of AAR Corp, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

AAR Corp Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as AAR Corp, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of AAR Corp should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

AAR Corp Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact AAR Corp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-03-22
2022-02-280.580.630.05
2021-12-21
2021-11-300.54330.53-0.0133
2021-09-23
2021-08-310.490.520.03
2021-07-20
2021-05-310.4680.470.002
2021-03-23
2021-02-280.2880.370.08228 
2020-12-17
2020-11-300.1650.310.14587 
2020-09-24
2020-08-31-0.0480.170.218454 
2020-07-21
2020-05-31-0.28860.260.5486190 
2020-03-24
2020-02-290.64320.670.0268
2019-12-19
2019-11-300.59580.640.0442
2019-09-25
2019-08-310.51420.570.055810 
2019-07-10
2019-05-310.62280.640.0172
2019-03-19
2019-02-280.6960.790.09413 
2018-12-18
2018-11-300.570.590.02
2018-09-25
2018-08-310.520.540.02
2018-07-10
2018-05-310.51170.540.0283
2018-03-20
2018-02-280.480.490.01
2017-12-21
2017-11-300.3660.35-0.016
2017-09-19
2017-08-310.3050.2725-0.032510 
2017-07-11
2017-05-310.42750.49560.068115 
2017-03-21
2017-02-280.36430.380.0157
2016-12-21
2016-11-300.3450.350.005
2016-09-22
2016-08-310.25670.290.033312 
2016-07-12
2016-05-310.4250.34-0.08520 
2016-03-22
2016-02-290.25750.310.052520 
2015-12-17
2015-11-300.290.16-0.1344 
2015-09-24
2015-08-310.230.280.0521 
2015-07-13
2015-05-310.21.531.33665 
2015-03-30
2015-02-280.40.490.0922 
2014-12-18
2014-11-300.370.380.01
2014-09-23
2014-08-310.380.36-0.02
2014-07-15
2014-05-310.410.430.02
2014-03-20
2014-02-280.470.45-0.02
2013-12-19
2013-11-300.480.50.02
2013-09-24
2013-08-310.450.450
2013-07-25
2013-05-310.450.50.0511 
2013-03-19
2013-02-280.430.460.03
2012-12-18
2012-11-300.410.440.03
2012-09-19
2012-08-310.390.450.0615 
2012-07-17
2012-05-310.460.45-0.01
2012-03-20
2012-02-290.490.41-0.0816 
2011-12-15
2011-11-300.450.43-0.02
2011-09-15
2011-08-310.450.41-0.04
2011-07-06
2011-05-310.460.45-0.01
2011-03-15
2011-02-280.420.450.03
2010-12-15
2010-11-300.350.450.128 
2010-09-15
2010-08-310.30.350.0516 
2010-07-13
2010-05-310.30.310.01
2010-03-16
2010-02-280.350.26-0.0925 
2009-12-15
2009-11-300.30.340.0413 
2009-09-22
2009-08-310.250.270.02
2009-07-14
2009-05-310.460.490.03
2009-03-17
2009-02-280.460.480.02
2008-12-16
2008-11-300.490.510.02
2008-09-16
2008-08-310.450.450
2008-07-09
2008-05-310.510.520.01
2008-03-18
2008-02-290.460.470.01
2007-12-18
2007-11-300.40.420.02
2007-09-19
2007-08-310.380.36-0.02
2007-07-11
2007-05-310.410.420.01
2007-03-21
2007-02-280.360.370.01
2006-12-20
2006-11-300.320.330.01
2006-09-20
2006-08-310.280.290.01
2006-07-12
2006-05-310.30.310.01
2006-03-22
2006-02-280.230.270.0417 
2005-12-22
2005-11-300.20.220.0210 
2005-09-21
2005-08-310.150.150
2005-07-13
2005-05-310.160.170.01
2005-03-16
2005-02-280.110.150.0436 
2004-12-17
2004-11-300.10.150.0550 
2004-09-22
2004-08-310.060.070.0116 
2004-06-29
2004-05-310.070.080.0114 
2004-03-17
2004-02-290.060.090.0350 
2003-12-18
2003-11-300.010.030.02200 
2003-09-17
2003-08-31-0.06-0.060
2003-07-03
2003-05-31-0.01-0.12-0.111100 
2003-03-27
2003-02-280.010.020.01100 
2002-12-19
2002-11-30-0.04-0.020.0250 
2002-09-26
2002-08-31-0.02-0.15-0.13650 
2002-06-27
2002-05-310.04-0.08-0.12300 
2002-03-20
2002-02-28-0.03-0.08-0.05166 
2001-12-20
2001-11-300.11-0.1-0.21190 
2001-09-20
2001-08-310.120.02-0.183 
2001-06-28
2001-05-310.250.21-0.0416 
2001-03-20
2001-02-280.250.2-0.0520 
2000-12-20
2000-11-300.230.16-0.0730 
2000-09-20
2000-08-310.30.12-0.1860 
2000-06-28
2000-05-310.40.2-0.250 
2000-03-15
2000-02-290.410.4-0.01
1999-12-16
1999-11-300.420.4-0.02
1999-09-15
1999-08-310.390.390
1999-06-24
1999-05-310.40.420.02
1999-03-15
1999-02-280.370.370
1998-12-16
1998-11-300.360.360
1998-09-15
1998-08-310.340.340
1998-06-25
1998-05-310.340.380.0411 
1998-03-12
1998-02-280.320.330.01
1997-12-11
1997-11-300.280.310.0310 
1997-09-17
1997-08-310.260.270.01
1997-06-25
1997-05-310.260.260
1997-03-13
1997-02-280.230.240.01
1996-12-12
1996-11-300.210.210
1996-09-16
1996-08-310.170.20.0317 
1996-07-01
1996-05-310.190.210.0210 
1996-03-13
1996-02-290.170.170

About AAR Corp Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of AAR Corp earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current AAR Corp estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as AAR Corp fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit853 M837.8 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT53.1 M55.9 M
Earnings per Basic Share 0.91  0.90 
Earnings per Diluted Share 0.90  0.89 
Price to Earnings Ratio 47.54  62.58 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA85.8 M94.4 M
Earnings before Tax48.6 M46.5 M
AAR Corp. provides products and services to commercial aviation, government, and defense markets worldwide. AAR Corp. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois. AAR Corp operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 4700 people.

AAR Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of AAR Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in AAR Corp. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

AAR Corp Implied Volatility

    
  29.1  
AAR Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AAR Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AAR Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AAR Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when AAR Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AAR Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AAR Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AAR Corp options trading.

Current Sentiment - AIR

AAR Corp Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are presently bullish on AAR Corp. What is your sentiment towards investing in AAR Corp? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with AAR Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AAR Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AAR Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

AAR Corp Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to AAR Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AAR Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AAR Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AAR Corp to buy it.
The correlation of AAR Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AAR Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AAR Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AAR Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the AAR Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AAR Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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Is AAR Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAR Corp. If investors know AAR Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AAR Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AAR Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AAR Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AAR Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AAR Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AAR Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AAR Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AAR Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AAR Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AAR Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.